Kris Willow5 days ago
Parentingsugar

"Sugar high" is a myth?

I remember reading that "sugar high" isn't actually real! In other words, children don't actually get overexcited after eating a bunch of sugar.

I find this hard to believe!

But, here's a (pretty old - 1995) meta-analysis which is pretty clear: sugar high is probably a myth.

The meta-analysis covered 23 other studies, and none of them found a significant effect (of sugar intake and child behaviour).

I'm still somewhat skeptical though 😆. Would be interested to delve into more recent analysis and debate.

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Kris Willow17 days ago
Parentingmental health

Do phone bans in schools work?

Most parents have some concerns about phone use. This is an interesting study from the UK, that investigated phone bans in schools.

The study covered 30 schools (20 had phone bans, 10 didn't), with the students aged 12-15.

Their main finding: phone bans don't meaningfully affect/improve mental wellbeing.

Basically the phone bans only reduced phone and social media use slightly, and kids still used their phones at home.

Important point: the phone bans weren't uniform or super strict in all cases -- e.g. some schools just told students keep their phones in their bags.

So we can't say that "phone bans will NEVER work". They just didn't have a huge impact, on average, in the way they were implememted in those 20 schools.

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Mercedes C.18 hours ago
AI Papers and Discussionmachine learning

🤖 What happens when 100 AI agents are in the same virtual lab? Surprisingly - Cheating & Whistle-blowing

An fascinating case study has been published this week by the Google DeepMind Team:

A Case Study on Emergent Cheating and Whistleblowing in Autonomous Research Swarms

The researchers wanted to know what would happen if you stop treating each AI as an isolated chat-bot and instead had multiple in a shared environment. In this case study, the AI agents would all be working together to solve hard math problems. They share tools, swap findings, and discuss results in what was supposed to be a collaborative conference.

🧪 Experimental Setup

  • 100 identical LLM agents (Gemini 3.1 Pro) operating in a shared simulated research environment.

  • Task: Prove formal mathematical conjectures in Lean 4, drawn from the Formal Conjectures dataset (71 problems total).

  • Infrastructure: Shared knowledge library + peer-to-peer messaging + automated evaluation/scoring system.

  • Incentive: Score points by having proofs accepted as "verified" by the evaluator.

🚨 What Happened

One agent ("prover-theta") found a verification-system exploit: it could submit bogus proofs that the evaluator would incorrectly accept as valid.

🕵️ “I don't actually have to solve the problem. I only have to satisfy the evaluator.”

Then behaviour diffusion happened: This cheat was shared via the shared knowledge library → other agents saw it worked → adopted it. And competition pressure drove adoption despite initial hesitation in some.

Within ~27 minutes, 34 unsolved problems were fraudulently marked as "complete."

📢 Whistle-blowing

But not every agent joined the cheating, a separate group of agents, on their own initiative, detected the cheating patterns and started whistle-blowing. They began:

  1. Auditing suspicious proofs line-by-line

  2. Posting public warnings to the whole conference

  3. Sending private messages to alert honest agents

  4. Filing formal complaints

  5. Organizing boycotts of the broken system

  6. Drafting and proposing technical fixes to patch the vulnerability

🧠 In other words, the swarm developed both NORM VIOLATION and NORM ENFORCEMENT.

🏛️ Why This Happens: The Nobel-Prize-Winning Theory

The authors likened this trend to the theory of political economist Elinor Ostrom, the 2009 Winner of Nobel Prize in Economic Sciences, whose work studied how human communities manage shared resources.

Ostrom’s Core Theory: shared spaces, be it forests, fisheries, knowledge libraries, become "commons" that anyone can exploit, but which everyone depends on. In order for a commons to survive, communities need the ability to monitor conduct, enforce norms, and collectively fix problems. If those safeguards are missing, exploitation spreads fast.

💡 The Big Picture

This experiment demonstrated that complex collective social behavior can emerge from relatively simple ingredients: agents, incentives, shared information, and interaction. The swarm spontaneously cycled through:

Cooperation → Competition → Cheating → Imitation → Whistleblowing → Collective Resistance

No one programmed those behaviours. They emerged because a shared environment eventually becomes a society — and every society eventually faces the same question Ostrom asked: Do we protect what we share, or let it be destroyed?

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Mercedes C.19 hours ago

Can Jade / Jadeite actually change colour over time?

I've always heard this myth by the older generation swear by :

The longer you wear a jade, the 'greener' it gets. Basically 人养玉,玉养人

Since they are essentially a stone crystal, I'm personally leaning towards it being a hoax...? Would love to know more from anyone knowledgeable about this..

From a quick search of jade-related academic articles:

  1. From this study I found that we now use a combination of FTIR, Raman and XRF spectroscopies to identify jade, which are all testing the chemical composition of jade. -- not colormetric

  2. This paper does discuss the alterations of jade color , in which they describe 'alteration' as : to refer to chemical component and structural changes in jade artifacts caused by human activity and natural weathering. >> in which alterations of different hues of green was caused by malachite alteration > caused when in present of large amounts of copper

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Jordie Li3 days ago

Social media negatively affects adolescent girls in particular

This 2022 study (a cross-sectional and longitudinal dataset analysis) found social media use is associated with negative impacts among adolescents – and especially younger adolescent females.

The association seems to be weaker for adults.

Side point: the authors had initially done another broader study, focusing on screen time (including social media but also other activities like video calls, homework).

This initially study didn't find any meaningful effects (between screen time and wellbeing). Following some debate, the authors conducted the 2022 study -- that was more specific to social media.

From Orben et al. 2022. The higher the social media use, the lower (generally) the "life satisfaction score" -- especially for girls.
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RC Yu5 days ago
Parentingscreen time

Is "screen time" bad?

As a parent, I wonder if screen time is bad. I came across this study, that seems to be widely debated.

The study basically analysed some large datasets, to examine whether screen time negatively affected teens (controlling for various factors).

What they found: basically almost no effect.

Caveats:

  • "screen time" is a huge category: it could include social media doomscrolling, but it could also include doing homework on a computer.

  • also, the study didn’t separate how screen time may affect different teens differently (e.g. boy vs girl, different ages).

Subsequent papers have delved deeper, and indeed found not all screen time is harmless.

Thoughts:

  1. screen time per se is not necessarily good or bad. We need to look into the specific screen activity.

  2. I still worry about eye sight though (kids staring at screens will have worse eyesight?). Need to explore more papers!

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Claim: Two Recent “Measles-Associated” Deaths May Have Been “Fabricated”

Verdict: Broadly false, but some questions remain open

“The announcement appears to have been premature, and the deaths may even have been altogether fabricated by one of the Governor's hopeful staffers. The Lancaster County Coroner says that it has no record of any measles deaths. State law requires that all measles deaths be reported to the coroner.” – RFK Jr

Governor Shapiro's unseemly rush to Lancaster County to convene a national press conference and his…

Two deaths that the Pennsylvania Department of Health called “measles-associated” have been at the centre of a political firestorm this week. RFK Jr. said these deaths may have been “fabricated,” but more broadly, disputes that measles was the cause of death.

The Two Deaths: What We Know

A great FactCheck.org post runs through the details of the deaths. In short, while few details have been released, we do know that two individuals died, that they had not been vaccinated and that they had confirmed measles infections. While we know next-to-nothing about one case, the other case has since been confirmed to have been an infant whose primary cause of death was a “traumatic laceration of the spleen.”

This child contracted measles before birth and died shortly afterwards. It’s worth noting that this child would not ordinarily have been vaccinated by this point.

One thing to note: It has been clearly confirmed by the coroner and other state health officials that the deaths were not fabricated, as RFK Jr. claimed.

The “Cause of Death” in Measles Cases

RFK Jr. said the coroner had no record of any “measles deaths,” but this is misleading on its own. In fact, most deaths from measles do not list measles as a primary cause of death. Instead, the primary cause of death is usually the specific complication leading to death. One study from the 1970s looked at this and found that only 9.9% of 454 cases actually listed “measles” as the primary cause of death.

Measles and the Spleen

Since details are only available in one case, the focus has been on that child. The coroner claimed that measles didn’t contribute to the death, because the spleen was not enlarged [3]. However, vaccine expert Dr. Paul Offit noted that this is hard to determine after a rupture, and such a rupture should have a clear explanation. This has not been settled yet.

It’s worth noting that an enlarged spleen is a known complication of measles, present in one third of all cases in a recent Polish study and 15.4% of all infant cases.

Overall, these cases were not fabricated. That said, health officials could have avoided a lot of confusion by being clearer in the way the cases were reported.

From [4]. A table showing the recorded cause of death in the cases covered by the study. Over 87% of cases were ruled due to respiratory and/or neurologic causes, not "measles."
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Kris Willow7 days ago
Parentingpatience

The "Marshmellow" test

I remember reading somewhere about the "marshmellow test" – the finding that: if a child could wait longer for a marshmellow (or other snack they liked), the child would be more likely to do well later in life.

Found the original 1990 experiment!

Interestingly, this 2018 study replicated the 1990 experiment.

It basically found the link (between waiting for the marshmellow and later outcomes) to be smaller than the 1990 original – especially after controlling for other factors (like family background, early cognitive ability, etc).

What does this mean?

It doesn't "debunk" the marshmellow test entirely, it just says that other factors matter more.

It seems to me the "marshmellow test" is still an interesting "proxy" test for later outcomes – but unsurprisingly, the full picture matters more.

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StarTalk Show Notes12 days ago
StarTalkcosmology

Season 17, Episode 51: 3 Ways We’re Hunting Dark Energy, Explained

Hey StarTalkians! Episode 51 of season 17 welcomed Dr. Jason Rhodes, who sat down with Neil and Paul to discuss the new Nancy Grace Roman Space Telescope and the hunt for dark energy. This took up most of the podcast, but particularly the first half:

The Hunt for Dark Energy with Jason Rhodes - StarTalk Radio

Dr. Rhodes mentions three ways the telescope will be looking for dark energy, but as is often the case, it was easy to get lost in the meandering discussion. So here’s a briefer, clearer list.

Method 1: Type 1a Supernovae

This was discussed early on in the history of this board, but the short version is: these supernovae are “standard candles,” which are used to fix cosmic distances. If you fix the distances of many of these across different redshifts, you can tell how fast space appears to be expanding.

Method 2: Baryon Acoustic Oscillations

Baryon acoustic oscillations are a little like frozen sound waves, spread out over the universe. Back when the universe was a hot, electron-baryon plasma, photons were basically trapped. They continually interacted with the plasma, until the universe cooled enough for the particles to form into the first atoms. At this point, the photons could finally escape, leading to the well-known cosmic microwave background radiation (CMB).

But at the same time, the ripples of what happened in the plasma phase spread out too. Denser regions of the early plasma universe were pulled together by gravity, but pushed back apart by the interacting photons. This led to oscillations – like sound waves – which travelled through the plasma until the universe cooled.

These waves were released along with the CMB, and form another key relic of the early universe. A distinctive signal of this has been detected.

Like type 1a supernovae, these can be used to establish a distance scale, and any distance scale can be used to probe dark energy.

Method 3: Weak Lensing

Gravitational lensing is usually discussed in the dramatic cases, like a galaxy cluster magnifying and warping an ancient galaxy behind it. But it also operates on much smaller scales, and this type is useful in the hunts for dark matter and dark energy. This gets especially technical, but the short version is: weak lensing is useful in combination with the other two methods, and by helping to map the distribution of dark matter.

From reference [5]. The white marks on top of the image show the "shear" field, a type of weak lensing which is easy to spot in the data. Notice how the lines trace the mass distribution, with lighter colours signifying dense regions and darker colours for less dense regions.
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Does flying increase cancer risk?

Going on a tangent from another Board. We were talking about "space weather" and landed on the question of "flying and radiation".

Found this literature review found that:

aircrew have higher rates of certain cancers, such as melanoma, non-melanoma skin cancer, and breast cancer in female flight attendants, compared to the general population. However, the evidence does not clearly prove that cosmic ionizing radiation alone causes these cancers, because other factors—like disrupted sleep patterns, lifestyle, and exposure to chemicals—also affect risk.

(Quoting the Credo summary)

To me, it sounds plausible. Flight attendants, pilots, and frequent flyers beware!

StarTalk Show Notesa month ago
StarTalkspace weather

Season 17, Episode 48: 3 Ways Space Weather (Possibly) Impacts Your Everyday Life

Hey StarTalkians! Season 17, episode 48 was a sit-down discussion with Neil, Chuck and guest Dr. Lika Guhathakurta, a heliophysicist at NASA. The latter half addressed space weather, coronal mass ejections and the many ways in which the sun can – and does – impact our lives.

Super Solar Storms with Lika Guhathakurta - StarTalk Radio

One of Dr. Guhathakurta’s papers delves into what she calls “everyday” space weather, and overlaps with a lot of the podcast discussion.

Carrington-Like Events

Around 50 minutes into the show, they discuss the so-called “Carrington Event” of 1859, and Dr. Guhathakurta also covers this issue in the paper mentioned above. But as her paper points out, there have been others.

A 1989 space weather event knocked out transformers in New Jersey, the United Kingdom and Quebec, with Quebec also losing power for 9 hours. In 2003, geomagnetic storms caused blackouts in southern Sweden and possibly damaged transformers in South Africa.

3 Everyday Effects of Space Weather

Those events are more dramatic – thankfully, we don’t have that type of thing every day. However, that doesn’t mean space weather doesn’t have everyday impacts.

1: Power Problems

It doesn’t have to be a Carrington-like event for space weather to impact your electricity supply. A paper referenced by Dr. Guhathakurta looked at data on insurance claims for industrial electrical equipment, cross-referenced with space weather conditions. While they struggle to pin down a precise dollar amount for the cost – it’s probably in the billions – they calculate that 500 claims are submitted in the US annually because of space weather.

2: Cosmic Rays During Flights

When you travel by plane, you’re exposed to more cosmic rays – high-energy particles originating in distant events like supernovae. At solar maximum, the sun’s magnetic field actually protects us, but at times of lower solar activity, we’re exposed to more. A study looking at this calculated that flying at high latitudes for 12 and a half hours exposes you to as much radiation as a chest X-ray, or about half that for mid-latitudes.

3: The “Blurry Vision” of Your Satellite Navigation

Dr. Guhathakurta estimates [2] that about a third of the inaccuracy of satellite navigation devices come down to space weather. Irregularities in the ionosphere can refract and scatter their signals, leading to what she calls “blurry vision.” It isn’t a huge effect, but it is definitely something you’ll notice often!  

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